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Bank of France Boss Says 2026 Deficit Must Be Within 4.8% of GDP

France’s top central banker has issued a firm warning to the government, saying the country’s public deficit must be brought down to within 4.8 percent of gross domestic product by 2026. The statement from François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France, comes as the nation faces growing concern over rising debt levels and persistent fiscal imbalances.

The call for tighter fiscal discipline follows a series of credit rating downgrades and increased market scrutiny over France’s spending trajectory. The country’s deficit has remained stubbornly high since the pandemic, driven by expansive social programs, energy subsidies, and slower-than-expected economic growth. Villeroy’s remarks signal that policymakers can no longer rely on heavy public spending to stimulate the economy without risking financial instability.

According to the central bank chief, reducing the deficit to 4.8 percent of GDP by 2026 is not just a target but a necessary condition to maintain confidence among investors and international partners. France’s debt burden, currently among the highest in the euro area, has left the government with little fiscal room to maneuver. Rising borrowing costs and higher interest payments are adding further pressure to tighten public finances.

Villeroy stressed that restoring credibility will require both spending restraint and structural reforms. He urged the government to prioritize efficiency over expansion in public expenditure and to focus on policies that enhance long-term productivity rather than short-term relief measures. He also emphasized the need for better management of welfare programs and a more sustainable approach to energy subsidies that have ballooned since the recent global energy crisis.

The central banker’s comments come as President Emmanuel Macron’s administration prepares its budget plans amid a politically divided parliament. Efforts to introduce austerity or cut public benefits risk sparking social tensions, particularly after years of cost-of-living pressures and protests over pension reforms. Nonetheless, Villeroy’s stance reflects a growing consensus among economists that France must take decisive action to stabilize its finances before market confidence erodes further.

France’s fiscal situation has become increasingly delicate. Economic growth has slowed, tax revenues have softened, and public spending remains elevated. While the government insists that fiscal consolidation will not compromise social priorities, the challenge lies in balancing reform with fairness. Reducing deficits too aggressively could stifle recovery, but delaying adjustments could push debt to unsustainable levels.

The 4.8 percent deficit threshold for 2026 is seen as a critical step toward meeting the European Union’s broader fiscal rules, which aim to bring member states’ deficits below 3 percent of GDP over time. Achieving this will require not only prudent management but also political determination to push through sometimes unpopular measures.

In the end, Villeroy’s message is clear: France must restore fiscal order to preserve economic stability and maintain its credibility in the eyes of global markets. The years ahead will test the government’s ability to control spending, boost growth, and strike a delicate balance between fiscal responsibility and social cohesion. Whether France can meet the 4.8 percent target will depend on how quickly policymakers act to turn warnings into concrete reforms.

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